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Saturday · August 8 · 4:09 PM ✦

ATHLETICS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 91 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph out to rf

Final

ATHLETICS 7
Red Sox 3

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 7–3 Athletics

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 2–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 45% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 33% 67% 3–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 42% 58%
Random Forest Athletics 71% 29%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

73–51

59% across 124 games

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games