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Friday · August 7 · 7:10 pm ✦

ATHLETICS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph out to rf

Final

Athletics 1
RED SOX 13

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–13 Red Sox

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Athletics Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 31% 69% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 36% 64% 2–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–4
Logistic Athletics 55% 45%
Random Forest Athletics 71% 29%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Athletics this season

73–51

59% across 124 games

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games