Thursday · August 6 ✦
WHITE SOX @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
White Sox
11
RED SOX
12
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 11–12 Red Sox
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | White Sox | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Chicago White Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Chicago White Sox | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Chicago White Sox | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Chicago White Sox | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | 4–3 | ✓ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
White Sox this season
81–81
50% across 162 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games