Sunday · July 26 · 1:38 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 75 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph in from rf
Final
Blue Jays
1
RED SOX
6
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–6 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games