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Tuesday · August 4 · 7:10 pm ✦

WHITE SOX @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 82 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph out to cf

Final

White Sox 2
RED SOX 14

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 2–14 Red Sox

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick White Sox Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Chicago White Sox 55% 45% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago White Sox 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago White Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Chicago White Sox 52% 48%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 40% 60%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

White Sox this season

60–62

49% across 122 games

Red Sox this season

66–57

54% across 123 games