Wednesday · July 22 · 7:10 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 81 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to rf
Final
ORIOLES
5
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 5–1 Orioles
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games