Friday · July 24 · 7:15 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
Blue Jays
4
RED SOX
6
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 4–6 Red Sox
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 60% | 40% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 54% | 46% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games