Saturday · July 25 · 4:11 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 78 degrees, sunny, wind 8 mph in from rf
Final
BLUE JAYS
6
Red Sox
0
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 6–0 Blue Jays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games