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Wednesday · July 22 · 1:35 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 11 mph out to cf

Final

Orioles 0
Red Sox 0

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 0–0 None

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 64% 36% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 62% 38% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Boston Red Sox 47% 53% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 58% 42% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games