Friday · July 17 · 7:10 pm ✦
RAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 80 degrees, clear, wind 7 mph out to rf
Final
Rays
3
RED SOX
5
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 3–5 Red Sox
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 33% | 67% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 38% | 62% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 39% | 61% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 71% | 29% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games