Sunday · July 19 ✦
RAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
Rays
1
RED SOX
6
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 1–6 Red Sox
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 38% | 62% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 35% | 65% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games