Wednesday · July 1 · 1:36 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 95 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 2 mph out to rf
Final
NATIONALS
10
Red Sox
2
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 10–2 Nationals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 67% | 33% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games