Monday · June 29 · 7:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 76 degrees, clear, wind 9 mph in from rf
Final
Nationals
3
RED SOX
6
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–6 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 60% | 40% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 75% | 25% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games