Tuesday · June 30 · 7:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 14 mph out to lf
Final
NATIONALS
8
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 8–1 Nationals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 75% | 25% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games