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Sunday · June 28 · 7:20 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 76 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph in from rf

Final

Yankees 4
RED SOX 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–5 Red Sox

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 60% 40% 3–3
Logistic New York Yankees 54% 46%
Random Forest New York Yankees 67% 33%
Consensus New York Yankees 59% 41% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–31

63% across 83 games