← Back to the recap

Saturday · June 27 · 1:10 PM ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 75 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

Yankees 1
RED SOX 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–4 Red Sox

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 64% 36% 5–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–2 ✗
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–2 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 65% 35% 3–2 ✗
Logistic Boston Red Sox 45% 55% — ✓
Random Forest New York Yankees 67% 33% — ✗
Consensus New York Yankees 59% 41% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games