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Saturday · June 27 · 1:10 PM ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 75 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

Yankees 1
RED SOX 4

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 1–4 Red Sox

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 64% 36% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–2
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 65% 35% 3–2
Logistic Boston Red Sox 45% 55%
Random Forest New York Yankees 67% 33%
Consensus New York Yankees 59% 41% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–31

63% across 83 games