← Back to the recap

Wednesday · June 17 · 6:45 pm ✦

BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 77 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

BLUE JAYS 3
Red Sox 0

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–0 Blue Jays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 67% 33% 4–2 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 45% 55% — ✗
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

73–82

47% across 155 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games