Thursday · June 25 · 7:10 pm ✦
YANKEES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 85 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 6 mph out to lf
Final
Yankees
3
RED SOX
6
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–6 Red Sox
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Yankees | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
44–41
52% across 85 games
Red Sox this season
52–31
63% across 83 games