Thursday · June 18 · 1:37 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 77 degrees, overcast, wind 8 mph out to lf
Final
BLUE JAYS
4
Red Sox
3
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 4–3 Blue Jays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
42–45
48% across 87 games
Red Sox this season
52–32
62% across 84 games