Back to the recap

Saturday · June 13 · 4:12 PM ✦

RANGERS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

Rangers 3
RED SOX 6

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 3–6 Red Sox

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Texas Rangers 60% 40% 3–2
Logistic Boston Red Sox 49% 51%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 58% 42%
Consensus Texas Rangers 52% 48% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games