Tuesday · June 16 · 6:45 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 77 degrees, clear, wind 3 mph out to rf
Final
BLUE JAYS
6
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 6–1 Blue Jays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–2 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games