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Sunday · June 14 · 7:20 pm ✦

RANGERS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 88 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph out to lf

Final

RANGERS 6
Red Sox 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 6–4 Rangers

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Texas Rangers 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 52% 48%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 53% 47%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games