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Friday · June 12 · 7:10 pm ✦

RANGERS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 3 mph in from rf

Final

Rangers 1
RED SOX 10

Our Pick

TEXAS RANGERS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Texas Rangers · Actual: 1–10 Red Sox

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rangers Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Texas Rangers 64% 36% 4–2
Platoon-weighted Texas Rangers 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Texas Rangers 55% 45%
Random Forest Texas Rangers 63% 37%
Consensus Texas Rangers 55% 45% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rangers this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games