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Thursday · June 4 · 1:36 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 87 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

ORIOLES 8
Red Sox 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 8–2 Orioles

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 71% 29% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 53% 47%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 41% 59%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

47–37

56% across 84 games

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games