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Thursday · June 4 · 1:36 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 87 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph out to lf

Final

ORIOLES 8
Red Sox 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 8–2 Orioles

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 71% 29% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 65% 35% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% — ✓
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 41% 59% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 56% 44% 4–3 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games