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Tuesday · June 2 · 6:45 pm ✦

ORIOLES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 73 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph l to r

Final

ORIOLES 4
Red Sox 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 4–2 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 62% 38% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–3
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 50% 50%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 50% 50%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 3–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

47–38

55% across 85 games

Red Sox this season

52–33

61% across 85 games