Wednesday · June 3 · 6:45 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 79 degrees, clear, wind 5 mph r to l
Final
Orioles
1
RED SOX
8
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–8 Red Sox
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 67% | 33% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 69% | 31% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 57% | 43% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games