Back to the recap

Wednesday · May 27 ✦

BRAVES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park.

Final

Braves 0
RED SOX 8

Our Pick

ATLANTA BRAVES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 0–8 Red Sox

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Braves Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Atlanta Braves 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Atlanta Braves 64% 36% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Atlanta Braves 76% 24% 4–2
Logistic Boston Red Sox 36% 64%
Random Forest Atlanta Braves 53% 47%
Consensus Atlanta Braves 57% 43% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Braves this season

46–41

53% across 87 games

Red Sox this season

52–33

61% across 85 games