Thursday · May 28 ✦
BRAVES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
BRAVES
10
Red Sox
2
Our Pick
ATLANTA BRAVES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Atlanta Braves · Actual: 10–2 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Atlanta Braves | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 36% | 64% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Atlanta Braves | 61% | 39% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Atlanta Braves | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
46–41
53% across 87 games
Red Sox this season
52–33
61% across 85 games