Tuesday · May 26 ✦
BRAVES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
BRAVES
7
Red Sox
6
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 7–6 Braves
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Braves | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Atlanta Braves | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Atlanta Braves | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Braves this season
86–76
53% across 162 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games