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Saturday · May 23 · 4:10 pm ✦

TWINS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 61 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from rf

Final

TWINS 4
Red Sox 2

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–2 Twins

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 56% 44% 3–2
Logistic Minnesota Twins 50% 50%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 64% 36%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 48% 52% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games