Friday · May 22 ✦
TWINS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
TWINS
8
Red Sox
6
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–6 Twins
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 29% | 71% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 35% | 65% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Minnesota Twins | 70% | 30% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games