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Friday · May 22 ✦

TWINS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park.

Final

TWINS 8
Red Sox 6

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–6 Twins

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 29% 71% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 42% 58% 3–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 35% 65%
Random Forest Minnesota Twins 70% 30%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 43% 57% 3–4
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–22

51% across 45 games

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games