Thursday · May 14 · 7:07 PM ✦
PHILLIES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 54 degrees, rain, wind 2 mph varies
Final
PHILLIES
3
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 3–1 Phillies
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 65% | 35% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
30–15
67% across 45 games
Red Sox this season
32–12
73% across 44 games