Tuesday · May 12 ✦
PHILLIES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park.
Final
PHILLIES
2
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Philadelphia Phillies · Actual: 2–1 Phillies
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Phillies | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Philadelphia Phillies | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 69% | 31% | 5–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Philadelphia Phillies | 55% | 45% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Philadelphia Phillies | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 34% | 66% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Philadelphia Phillies | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Phillies this season
94–64
59% across 158 games
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games