Sunday · May 10 · 1:36 PM ✦
RAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 69 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph out to cf
Final
RAYS
4
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–1 Rays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 62% | 38% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
17–25
40% across 42 games
Red Sox this season
32–12
73% across 44 games