Friday · July 17 · 1:35 PM ✦
RAYS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 82 degrees, sunny, wind 10 mph in from lf
Final
Rays
0
RED SOX
10
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 0–10 Red Sox
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rays | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 69% | 31% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rays this season
61–62
50% across 123 games
Red Sox this season
67–57
54% across 124 games