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Thursday · May 7 · 7:10 PM ✦

RAYS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 62 degrees, clear, wind 16 mph out to rf

Final

RAYS 8
Red Sox 4

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 8–4 Rays

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Rays Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 3–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 38% 62% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 38% 62% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 48% 52%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 45% 55%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 43% 57% 3–4
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Rays this season

17–25

40% across 42 games

Red Sox this season

32–12

73% across 44 games