Sunday · May 3 · 1:37 PM ✦
ASTROS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 50 degrees, cloudy, wind 6 mph in from lf
Final
ASTROS
3
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
HOUSTON ASTROS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Houston Astros · Actual: 3–1 Astros
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Astros | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Houston Astros | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Houston Astros | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Houston Astros | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Houston Astros | 52% | 48% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Astros this season
30–14
68% across 44 games
Red Sox this season
32–12
73% across 44 games