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Thursday · April 23 · 6:10 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 56 degrees, clear, wind 10 mph l to r

Final

YANKEES 4
Red Sox 2

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 5–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–2 Yankees

57%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 80% 20% 6–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 62% 38% 5–4
Logistic Boston Red Sox 47% 53%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 49% 51%
Consensus New York Yankees 57% 43% 5–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games