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Tuesday · April 21 · 6:45 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 45 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to lf

Final

YANKEES 4
Red Sox 0

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–0 Yankees

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 5–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Logistic Boston Red Sox 45% 55% — ✗
Random Forest New York Yankees 60% 40% — ✓
Consensus New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

83–76

52% across 159 games

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games