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Wednesday · April 22 · 6:45 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 45 degrees, cloudy, wind 8 mph out to lf

Final

YANKEES 4
Red Sox 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–1 Yankees

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 65% 35% 5–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 73% 27% 4–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 43% 57%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 47% 53%
Consensus New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games