Saturday · April 18 · 4:10 pm ✦
TIGERS @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 47 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from cf
Final
TIGERS
4
Red Sox
1
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 4–1 Tigers
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Tigers | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 44% | 56% | 4–5 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Detroit Tigers | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Detroit Tigers | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 37% | 63% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 46% | 54% | 4–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Tigers this season
32–13
71% across 45 games
Red Sox this season
32–13
71% across 45 games