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Monday · April 20 · 11:13 AM ✦

TIGERS @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 47 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph out to rf

Final

Tigers 6
RED SOX 8

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 6–8 Red Sox

59%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Tigers Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 33% 67% 2–4
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 33% 67% 3–4
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 44% 56% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 3–4
Logistic Detroit Tigers 52% 48%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 34% 66%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 41% 59% 3–4
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Tigers this season

32–13

71% across 45 games

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games