Wednesday · September 23 · 6:35 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 65 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 15 mph in from cf
Final
Blue Jays
2
ORIOLES
4
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 2–4 Orioles
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 61% | 39% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 52% | 48% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games