Friday · April 3 · 2:21 PM ✦
PADRES @ RED SOX
Fenway Park. · 56 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph out to cf
Final
Padres
2
RED SOX
5
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 2–5 Red Sox
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Padres | Red Sox | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | San Diego Padres | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | San Diego Padres | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 40% | 60% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | San Diego Padres | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 27% | 73% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Padres this season
33–12
73% across 45 games
Red Sox this season
32–13
71% across 45 games