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Friday · April 3 · 2:21 PM ✦

PADRES @ RED SOX

Fenway Park. · 56 degrees, sunny, wind 6 mph out to cf

Final

Padres 2
RED SOX 5

Our Pick

BOSTON RED SOX

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 2–5 Red Sox

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Padres Red Sox Projected Result
Baseline San Diego Padres 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted San Diego Padres 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted Boston Red Sox 40% 60% 4–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Diego Padres 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 47% 53%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 27% 73%
Consensus Boston Red Sox 45% 55% 4–4
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Padres this season

33–12

73% across 45 games

Red Sox this season

32–13

71% across 45 games