Monday · September 21 · 6:35 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 65 degrees, overcast, wind 3 mph in from rf
Final
Blue Jays
3
ORIOLES
4
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–4 Orioles
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 58% | 42% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games