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Friday · September 18 · 7:05 pm ✦

BREWERS @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 9 mph in from lf

Final

BREWERS 6
Orioles 5

Our Pick

MILWAUKEE BREWERS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–4 Milwaukee Brewers · Actual: 6–5 Brewers

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Brewers Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 38% 62% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 62% 38% 4–3 ✓
Platoon-weighted Milwaukee Brewers 55% 45% 4–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Milwaukee Brewers 53% 47% 4–4 ✓
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✗
Consensus Milwaukee Brewers 51% 49% 4–4 ✓
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Brewers this season

92–67

58% across 159 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games