Wednesday · September 9 · 6:35 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 87 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 13 mph out to lf
Final
Guardians
5
ORIOLES
9
Our Pick
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 5–9 Orioles
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 47% | 53% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games