Tuesday · September 8 · 6:35 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 82 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph r to l
Final
GUARDIANS
9
Orioles
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 9–5 Guardians
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cleveland Guardians | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 44% | 56% | 2–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cleveland Guardians | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games