Sunday · September 6 · 1:38 PM ✦
RED SOX @ ORIOLES
Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 78 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 4 mph in from cf
Final
RED SOX
3
Orioles
1
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 3–1 Red Sox
57%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Orioles | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 48% | 52% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 43% | 57% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
85–72
54% across 157 games
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games