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Saturday · September 5 · 7:05 pm ✦

RED SOX @ ORIOLES

Oriole Park at Camden Yards. · 79 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 8 mph in from lf

Final

RED SOX 5
Orioles 0

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 5–0 Red Sox

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Orioles Projected Result
Baseline Baltimore Orioles 49% 51% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 3–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% 4–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 44% 56% 3–4 ✗
Logistic Baltimore Orioles 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 40% 60% — ✗
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 45% 55% 4–4 ✗
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

85–72

54% across 157 games

Orioles this season

81–72

53% across 153 games